US and Iran exchange threats over potential negotiations
Cedric: Welcome to the Geopolitical
Report Daily for April 1, 2025.
Complete reports with casualty
information, interactive web maps, and
our IntelHub dashboard are available with
a Geopolitical Report Pro subscription.
Monday, we collected 38 events,
including the US and Iran
exchanging threats over potential
negotiations, so let's get started.
"Iran
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei has warned that the US will
receive a ""strong"" counterattack
if it carries out its threat to
bomb Iran over its nuclear program.
This comes after US President Donald
Trump threatened Iran with bombing and
secondary tariffs if it doesn't reach
a new nuclear deal with Washington."
"Afghanistan
In his Eid al-Fitr message, former
President Hamid Karzai called for
the lifting of education and job
restrictions on women in Afghanistan.
Karzai emphasized the importance of
reopening educational centers for
girls and creating job opportunities
for women, stating that these
restrictions pose a serious obstacle
to the country's development."
"Gaza Strip
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) has
issued a warning to Palestinians in
the entire Rafah area in southern
Gaza, instructing them to evacuate
to the al-Mawasi area on the coast.
The warning comes as the IDF
prepares to ""return to fight with
great force"" to eliminate terror
organization capabilities in the area.
This marks the largest evacuation order
since the resumption of the offensive
against Hamas earlier this month."
"Moldova
Moldova's Ministry of Foreign Affairs
declared three Russian Embassy employees
""personae non grata"" on March 31.
This decision was based on evidence
of activities that contradict
their diplomatic status in Moldova.
The move comes after Moldovan
President Maia Sandu condemned
Russia's interference in the case of
MP Alexander Nesterovsky, who fled to
Transnistria with alleged Moscow support."
"Philippines
On Sunday, six NPA rebels and 30
supporters surrendered to government
forces in Lebak town, Sultan Kudarat.
The 30 supporters included 10 NPA
militia unit members, and the 20
others were mass base supporters.
The rebels turned over an M-16
Armalite rifle, three calibers .45
pistols, a caliber .38
revolver, a baby Armalite rifle, two
M-79 Grenade launchers, four 12-gauge
shotguns, four 12-gauge rifles, three
12-guage pistols, and a caliber .22
rifle."
"Turkey
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan
has urged the Kurdistan Workers' Party
(PKK) to heed the call of its jailed
leader, Abdullah Ocalan, to disarm
and disband without any conditions.
This comes after Ocalan issued a
historic message in late February
calling for the PKK to integrate
with the state and society, lay
down arms, and dissolve itself.
The PKK has responded by declaring a
unilateral ceasefire but has set the
release of their leader from prison as a
precondition to making further decisions."
"Turkey
Turkey is set to sign three international
agreements with Iraq, including a
military training cooperation memorandum
and a strategic partnership framework.
The agreements aim to bolster security
coordination, counterterrorism
efforts, and promote economic
cooperation between the two countries."
"Lithuania
Four U.S.
Army Soldiers based at Fort Stewart in
Georgia went missing during a training
exercise in Lithuania on March 25.
Three of the soldiers were
found dead on Monday, while a
search continues for the fourth.
The incident occurred while they were
attempting to repair an immobilized
vehicle in the town of PabradÄ.
The recovery of the soldiers' armored
vehicle, an M88A2 Hercules, was
completed after a six-day effort
involving multiple agencies."
"India
In the past 24 hours, security forces
recovered three homemade mortar launchers,
multiple improvised explosive devices
(IEDs), firearms, and ammunition.
In the Tengnoupal district, Several
of the IEDs were destroyed on-site.
In a separate operation, security forces
arrested an active cadre of the Kangleipak
Communist Party (KCP) Bishnupur district."
"Burkina Faso
A suspected jihadist attack in eastern
Burkina Faso has resulted in the deaths
of ""several dozen"" soldiers and civilian
auxiliaries, with many more wounded.
The attack targeted an army
detachment in the town of Diapaga,
and nearby residents reported
seeing shops and homes set on fire."
"Democratic Republic of Congo
Armed assailants attacked a plane carrying
Red Cross International staff as it
approached Kavumu Airport in Bukavu,
the capital of South Kivu Province
in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
The two pilots, a Ugandan and a South
Sudanese national, were shot at and taken
hostage, with the South Sudanese pilot
tragically succumbing to his injuries."
"India
The Assam Rifles recovered two
improvised explosive devices (IEDs)
and 19 gelatine sticks in Manipur's
Churachandpur district on Monday.
The IEDs were later defused.
This incident comes amid ongoing ethnic
violence between Meiteis and Kuki-Zo
groups in Manipur, which has resulted in
over 250 deaths and thousands of people
being rendered homeless since May 2023."
"Philippines
Seven former communist New People's
Army (NPA) combatants surrendered to the
Army's 29th Infantry Battalion (29IB) in
Agusan del Norte province, bringing with
them various firearms and explosives.
The rebels, who belonged to the
Sub-Regional Sentro De Gravidad
Westland under the North Eastern
Mindanao Regional Committee of the
NPA, surrendered on March 24 and 25."
"South Sudan
A man was shot dead, and three others
are missing after gunshots rang out
at an internally displaced persons
(IDP) camp in Juba, South Sudan.
The incident occurred at 3:55 a.m.
on Sunday, with two of the missing
men later found to be detained
by suspected military elements."
"Syria
Unidentified gunmen attacked two
members of the General Security in
Talkalakh City, killing them instantly.
In response, the security
administration has imposed a curfew,
ordering civilians to stay indoors
and close commercial stores."
"Syria
In Harf Banmarah village, Baniyas
countryside, Tartus province, a
group of gunmen carried out an
armed attack, killing six civilians,
including a village elder, and injuring
others from the Alawite community.
The attackers, who chanted sectarian
slogans and released death threats,
set off from the Al-Desaynah base
and returned there after the attack.
The incident has led to the
displacement of many families
and public panic in the region."
"Syria
At least 11 civilians were found
dead with gunshot wounds in the head
in the Jubar river near the Baniyas
refinery in Tartus countryside.
The discovery is particularly concerning
due to the large number of people
still missing from the Al-Qosour
neighborhood in Baniyas, with it currently
unknown whether they were executed
or managed to escape to other areas."
"Syria
Two gunmen attacked a barbershop in
the Bab Qannan area of Hafir Al-Fuqa
town on a motorcycle at 03:00 AM.
The attack resulted in the death of one
young man and injuries to three others."
"Gaza Strip
Palestinian media reports three
people have been killed in an
Israeli airstrike in the Abasan area,
near Khan Younis in southern Gaza.
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) has
not yet commented on the strike."
"Gaza Strip
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) has
demolished a kilometer-long Hamas tunnel
in the northern Gaza Strip and killed over
50 terror operatives, including members of
Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad.
The operation is part of the IDF's
efforts to expand Israel's buffer
zone with Gaza and target senior Hamas
officials and infrastructure, such as
rocket manufacturing sites and launchers.
The IDF aims to minimize civilian
fatalities and accuses Hamas of embedding
itself in civilian infrastructure."
"India
Security forces have launched a massive
hunt for terrorists in the Juthana
area of Kathua district, Jammu and
Kashmir, after a resident reported
that three suspects barged into his
house and took a 13-year-old child.
The suspects escaped with the
child, who later managed to
escape from their clutches.
A joint team of the Army, CRPF, and
J-K Police is conducting a cordon and
search operation in the area, rounding
up overground workers for questioning."
"Taiwan
Taiwan tracked seven Chinese naval
vessels around its country between 6 a.m.
on Sunday and 6 a.m.
on Monday."
"Ukraine
A drone attack in Antonivka,
Ukraine, resulted in two people being
hospitalized with mine-blast injuries.
A 61-year-old woman and a 67-year-old
man were injured, with the man
being in serious condition due
to shrapnel wounds to both legs."
"Ukraine
Ukraine's Defense Forces intercepted
57 Russian drones, while 45
drones disappeared from radar,
causing no damage on the ground.
The attack, repelled by anti-aircraft
missile troops and electronic
warfare units, involved 131 Shahed
attack UAVs and decoy drones
launched from various regions."
"Ukraine
On Monday morning, Russian forces launched
a drone strike in the Dniprovskyi district
of Kherson, wounding three civilians.
The victims include a 61-year-old
doctor in critical condition and a
44-year-old man with serious injuries.
A 43-year-old woman
suffered minor injuries.
Additionally, a 64-year-old resident was
injured in a separate drone attack in
Beryslav but declined hospitalization."
"Ukraine
Russian Shahed drones targeted
Kharkiv, injuring three civilians and
damaging workshops, apartment blocks, a
kindergarten, and a production facility."
"Ukraine
Russian forces launched a missile
strike on Kupiansk in the Kharkiv
region, injuring at least two people - a
63-year-old man and a 35-year-old woman.
The attack used a multiple launch
rocket system, as reported by Oleh
Syniehubov, the head of the Kharkiv
Regional Military Administration."
"Ukraine
The Nikopol region in Ukraine was
attacked by the Russian army using
artillery and kamikaze drones.
The attack affected several communities,
including Nikopol, Marhanets, Pokrovsk,
and Myrivsk, damaging an enterprise,
an administrative building, two
private houses, and a gas pipeline.
Fortunately, no people were injured.
The Ukrainian Air Defense Forces
destroyed three drones in the
Dnipropetrovsk region during the attack."
"Ukraine
Ukrainian forces claimed to have
killed or wounded 1,230 Russian
soldiers over the past day.
Over 170 pieces of military equipment
were destroyed in the fighting."
"Ukraine
A Russian airstrike on Kupiansk
has resulted in injuries to three
people, including a 59-year-old
man and two women, aged 74 and 53.
A private house was destroyed and
guided aerial bombs damaged another."
"Ukraine
A 31-year-old nurse was injured in
the Kherson region due to Russian
shelling of the village of Bilozerka.
She was diagnosed with explosive trauma,
contusion, and concussion and will
be treated on an outpatient basis."
"Yemen
The Iranian-backed Houthis claim that
at least one person was killed and four
others wounded in suspected US airstrikes
around Sanaa, Yemen's rebel-held capital.
The full extent of the damage is
not yet clear, but footage shows
broken glass and damage to homes."
"Iran
Farmers in Eslamabad, Isfahan Province,
Iran, are clashing with riot forces
affiliated with the Iranian regime
over the diversion of water from
the Zayandeh Rud River to steel
industries controlled by the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).
The farmers, who have been protesting
for their right to irrigation water, are
accusing the IRGC of running a mafia that
monopolizes national resources for profit.
Despite injuries and attempts to
silence them, the protesters remain
resolute in their fight for dignity,
justice, and the right to life."
"Israel
Police arrested seven protesters in
Jerusalem on Monday evening, including
the cousin of a recently freed hostage.
The detainees were taken to
the Moriah police station.
The protests were part of anti-government
and pro-hostage deal demonstrations, with
some protesters blocking roads and holding
signs such as ""What about the hostages?""
The motivations and grounds for the
arrests are unclear at this time."
"Spain
A serious accident occurred at
the Cerredo mine in Degaña, Spain,
resulting in at least five fatalities
and four seriously injured workers.
The incident, which happened at 9:40 a.m.,
is believed to be caused by a
cave-in due to an apparent explosion.
Emergency services are on the
scene, including rescue teams,
firefighters, and the Civil Guard."
"Spain
On Monday, a mine accident occurred in
Degana, Asturias region, resulting in at
least two deaths and four missing miners.
Three others were injured in the accident.
A machine malfunction inside
the mine caused the accident."
"Syria
A person died in an explosion of a
landmine in Arab Hassan Village, near
Manbij City in eastern Aleppo, in an
area controlled by the National Army."
"Syria
A civilian collecting scrap metal was
killed in Al-Muthabin town, northern
Daraa countryside, due to an unexploded
object of war remnants exploding."
Thanks for joining us for the April
1, 2025 Geopolitical Report Daily.
As a reminder, complete reports with
casualty information, interactive
web maps, and our IntelHub dashboard
are available with a Geopolitical
Report Pro subscription, which you
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Thanks again for listening, and don't
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