Friction grows between India and Pakistan
Cedric: Welcome to the Geopolitical
Report Daily for April 25, 2025.
Complete reports with casualty
information, interactive web maps, and
our IntelHub dashboard are available with
a Geopolitical Report Pro subscription.
Thursday, we collected 73 events,
including several events impacting
India-Pakistan relations,
following the terrorist attack on
tourists, so let's get started.
India suspended the Indus Waters
Treaty in a strong response to Pakistan
regarding the cross-border linkages
identified in the terror attack
on tourists in Pahalgam, Jammu and
Kashmir, which claimed the lives of 26
people, including a foreign national.
India also closed the Attari
border over cross-border terrorism.
In another diplomatic move, India
has labeled Pakistanâs military
personnel, including naval and air
advisors, as Persona Non Grata.
These individuals must leave
the Indian High Commission
in New Delhi within a week.
India will also withdraw its
defence officials from the Pakistani
High Commission in Islamabad.
" Pakistan's National Security Committee
(NSC) has issued a stern warning to
India, stating that any attempt to divert
or stop the flow of water belonging to
Pakistan will be considered an act of war.
In response to India's decision
to suspend the Indus Water Treaty,
Pakistan has suspended all trade with
India, closed its airspace to Indian
aircraft, and reduced the strength of
the Indian High Commission in Islamabad
to 30 diplomats and staff members."
A Border Security Force (BSF) jawan,
Constable PK Singh, was detained by
Pakistan Rangers after accidentally
crossing the Punjab border.
He was in uniform and carrying a
service rifle when he was apprehended
near the Ferozepur border.
A flag meeting is underway to secure
his release, and officials are working
to resolve the matter amicably."
"Bangladesh
On Wednesday afternoon, Myanmar
Arakan Army rebels abducted two
Bangladeshi fishermen, Badshah Alam
and Abul Kalam, from the Naf River
in the Whykong area of Teknaf.
This incident has instilled fear among
local fishermen, who have been living
in anxiety due to similar occurrences.
The Ukhia 64 BGB Battalion is looking into
the situation, and the victims' families
have not yet submitted a complaint."
"France
A 15-year-old student attacked
three others with a knife at
Notre-Dame-de-Toutes-Aides high
school in western France, resulting
in the death of at least one teenager.
A staff member subdued the attacker
until police arrived to make an arrest.
Four people were treated for
injuries, with the condition of
the others unclear at this time.
Following the incident, parents have
begun collecting their children from
the school due to safety concerns,
and police have blocked surrounding
roads in the city of Nantes."
"India
On Wednesday, Indian security forces
exchanged gunfire with militants
from The Resistance Front (TRF),
a Pakistan-based group, in the
Tangmarg area of southern Kashmir.
This confrontation followed a tragic
incident a day earlier when terrorists
killed 26 individuals, primarily tourists,
in a scenic meadow in Kashmir, India.
Additionally, Indian troops shot
two terrorists attempting to
infiltrate India on the same day."
"India
The Uttar Pradesh Anti-Terror Squad (ATS)
arrested Mangat Singh, a long-absconding
terrorist of the banned Khalistan
Commando Force (KCF), who had been
evading arrest for nearly 30 years.
Mangat Singh, also known as Manga,
is the younger brother of Sangat
Singh, the former chief of the KCF.
He was arrested in his native village
in Amritsar, Punjab, after a joint
team of ATS and Sahibabad Police
tracked him down using intelligence
inputs and technical surveillance."
"India
Security forces in West Singhbhum
district have successfully
recovered and defused a 1.5
kg Improvised Explosive Device
(IED) planted by Maoist insurgents.
The IED was detected during a joint
operation involving district police,
Jharkhand Jaguar, and Central Reserve
Police Force (CRPF) personnel."
"India
Three militants were arrested
in separate operations in
Manipur's Imphal East district.
The arrested individuals are
associated with the banned Kangleipak
Communist Party (Nongdrenkhomba),
Kanglei Yawol Kanna Lup, and PREPAK.
A large cache of arms and ammunition,
including three SMG carbines
and four hand grenades, was also
recovered from one of the locations."
"India
On Thursday, terrorists killed
an Indian Army soldier during a
gun battle in the Dudu-Basantgarh
area of the Ukhampur district.
A search operation in the area was
underway to find those involved."
"Nigeria
A notorious bandit leader, Harisu Babba
Yauni, was killed in a clash with a rival
gang in Yauni Forest, Katsina State.
Yauni and 10 of his men were attacked and
killed by a rival faction from Kambarau,
Tudun Dole, and Kauyen Mahuta Forests.
Yauni was a target for the police
due to his involvement in the killing
of Mobile Police Force personnel
and innocent residents in Zakka."
"Nigeria
On Tuesday, Fulani gunmen killed two
people and wounded a soldier in an
ambush in Irigwe community, Bassa
Local Government Area, Plateau State.
The gunmen also destroyed
over 20 farmlands."
"Pakistan
A powerful roadside explosion
in the rural Amiri area of Kalat
district, Pakistan, has killed three
people, including two women and
a child, and injured five others.
The blast occurred when an
improvised explosive device (IED)
was detonated as a vehicle passed by,
destroying the vehicle completely.
The injured have been transferred
to Quetta for advanced treatment."
"Pakistan
On Wednesday, police arrested two
injured suspected terrorists following
a clash in the jurisdiction of Shorkot
Police Station in Dera Ismail Khan.
Police seized two 9mm pistols and
ammunition from the suspects."
"Pakistan
On Wednesday, unidentified terrorists
initiated a rocket strike targeting a
traffic police vehicle in proximity to
the Darra Pezu Bazaar within the Lakki
Marwat district at approximately 5:00 a.m.
Police officials reported that the
explosion caused minor injuries to
Traffic In-Charge Imran and driver
Islamuddin, and the vehicle was
entirely consumed by the ensuing fire."
"Philippines
Mayor Joel Ruma of Cagayan,
Philippines, was shot and
killed during an election rally.
He was rushed to the hospital but
was pronounced dead on arrival.
A civilian was also wounded in the
attack, prompting a police investigation.
Authorities have launched search
operations to identify the suspects
and ensure a peaceful 2025 election."
"Philippines
On Wednesday, at least 10 NPA rebels
clashed with government forces in Real
Town, Quezon province, wounding a soldier.
An unspecified number of insurgents
may have been injured in the fighting.
A search for the rebel was underway."
"Somalia
The al-Shabaab terrorist group launched
a pre-dawn attack on a strategic
Somali army base in Wargaadhi village.
The attack resulted in heavy
fighting between the Somali
National Army, supported by
local militias, and al-Shabaab.
According to the Somali Defense
Ministry, Wargaadhi remains under
military control despite al-Shabaab's
claims of capturing the village."
"South Africa
A shootout between rival gangs of illegal
miners occurred near Golden Drive and
New Modder mining sites on April 23,
causing fear and panic among residents.
The violence is believed to
be over control of recently
sealed-off mining shafts, and no
police responded to the scene.
A local security company, Hlasela
Tactical, intervened and helped calm the
situation, but expressed concern over the
SAPS's absence and the public's safety."
"Syria
In Janata village, Latakia, a
civilian was injured after being shot
at by two gunmen on a motorcycle.
The gunmen had allegedly interrogated
the civilian about possessing weapons,
and the victim had previously worked
in customs during the Al-Assad regime."
"West Bank
Twenty Breslov Hasidim entered the
Palestinian village of Kifl Haris in the
West Bank without permission, throwing
stones and leaving the area quickly.
No Palestinian injuries were reported,
and the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)
have not commented on the incident."
"West Bank
Israeli settlers in the Jordan Valley
of the West Bank have reportedly torched
a home and adjacent agricultural lands
in the Palestinian village of Bardala.
Israeli authorities have blocked
local ambulances and firetrucks
from reaching the scene."
"West Bank
Israeli security forces, including
Undercover Border Police and IDF troops,
have arrested the head of a terror cell
in the Balata refugee camp near Nablus.
The suspect was apprehended after a
brief exchange of fire, and a second
wanted individual was also detained.
The arrest was met with violent
riots, but there were no
reports of Israeli injuries."
"West Bank
Settlers entered the Palestinian
village of Bardala in the West
Bank, setting buildings on fire and
injuring two residents with gunfire.
IDF forces later dispersed
the settlers and Palestinians,
but no arrests have been made.
The incident has not yet
received a response from the
Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)."
"Democratic Republic of Congo
The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
and Rwandan-backed M23 rebels have
agreed to a ceasefire until peace talks
mediated by Qatar reach their conclusion.
This truce comes after more than
a week of talks, which both sides
described as ""frank and constructive.""
The conflict has intensified since
January, with over 7,000 people
killed, and the DRC accuses Rwanda
of arming the M23 and sending
troops to support the rebels."
"Gaza Strip
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)
have issued an evacuation warning to
Palestinians residing in Beit Hanoun
and the Sheikh Zayed neighborhood
in the northern Gaza Strip.
The warning comes in response to
sniper attacks on troops and other
activity by terror groups in the area.
The IDF is urging Palestinians
to head for Gaza City."
"Iran
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio is
demanding that Iran give up all nuclear
enrichment to avoid armed conflict.
Iran insists its nuclear program is
for civilian energy use and refuses to
give up its ability to enrich uranium.
The talks, led by Middle East
envoy Steve Witkoff, have been
ongoing, with a second round of
negotiations being held on Saturday.
The US is seeking a tougher agreement
on Iran's nuclear program, while
Iran wants the easing of sanctions
that have damaged its economy."
"Iraq
Five PKK militants have surrendered
to the Turkish forces in the
Kurdistan Region of northern Iraq.
Three PKK militants fled last week, while
two others gave up after being tracked
down by Turkish forces in a cave."
"Lebanon
The Lebanese Foreign Ministry has told
Iran's ambassador to Lebanon to refrain
from interfering in the country's
internal affairs, after he criticized
efforts to disarm Iran-backed Hezbollah.
The ambassador, Mojtaba Amani, had accused
Lebanon of conspiring with the US to
disarm Hezbollah, which has responded by
saying it will not let anyone disarm it.
Lebanon's Foreign Minister has
reaffirmed the country's rejection
of foreign interference and
support for positive neutrality and
mutual respect for sovereignty."
"United States
US President Donald Trump has criticized
Russian leader Vladimir Putin over
the recent missile strikes on Kyiv,
calling for a ceasefire and urging
both sides to agree to a peace deal.
Trump expressed his dissatisfaction
on social media, saying ""STOP!""
and emphasizing the need
to end the conflict."
"Gaza Strip
Thirteen people have been reported killed
in overnight Israeli strikes throughout
Gaza, according to reports from the Strip.
The Israeli military has not
yet commented on the strikes."
"Gaza Strip
The Israeli military has conducted an
airstrike in northern Gaza's Jabalia,
targeting a command center used by Hamas
and Palestinian Islamic Jihad operatives.
The site was used to plan and carry out
attacks on Israeli civilians and troops.
At least nine people were killed in the
strike, which the IDF says was carried out
with precision to minimize civilian harm.
The military also accused Hamas and
Palestinian Islamic Jihad of violating
international law by using civilian
infrastructure for terror purposes."
"Iraq
Turkiye has significantly expanded
its military presence in the Kurdistan
Region of northern Iraq, with over 10,000
soldiers stationed in over 80 locations.
The move comes after the Kurdistan
Workers' Party (PKK) declared a ceasefire,
and Turkish forces have reinforced
their presence in at least 12 locations,
including the Zilkan base near Bashiq."
"Myanmar
On Monday, a junta military airstrike
struck a monastery in the village
of Aidain, northeast of Sagaing
Township, injuring six monks and
civilians, including four medical
workers treating earthquake victims."
"Myanmar
Reports indicate that junta forces in
Naypyidaw are preparing a counteroffensive
to regain control of Nawnghkio
Township in northern Shan State,
which the Taâang National Liberation
Army (TNLA) captured on July 10.
The junta is deploying troops and
supplies to Taunghkam village and
has supplied Russian-made drones
to Taunghkam on April 1, capable of
overcoming Chinese-made drone jamming
systems utilized by resistance forces."
"Nigeria
A security threat is emerging from the
Baruten Local Government Area in Nigeria,
where a terrorist group identified as
Mahmuda is reportedly planning a covert
escape into the Benin Republic through
border communities in Kwara State.
The group, which had previously used
routes through northwestern Nigeria,
is now seeking alternative routes
due to heightened military presence.
A top security source has issued an
urgent call to action to government
authorities and local leadership to block
the group's escape routes and prevent them
from fleeing into the Benin Republic."
"Philippines
The Chinese aircraft carrier CNS Shandong
has deployed to the Philippine Sea,
marking its second deployment this month.
The carrier strike group is operating
approximately 200 nautical miles east
of the Philippine island of Luzon, and
its presence is seen as a potential
response to the ongoing U.S.-Philippines
Balikatan 2025 exercise."
"South Sudan
Clashes between South Sudan's army
(SSPDF) and opposition forces (SPLA-IO)
in Morobo County, Central Equatoria State,
have resulted in the displacement of an
estimated 1,185 households (7,110 people).
The displaced families are fleeing areas
such as Panyume, Kendila, Girili, and
Waima, with many arriving in Morobo town."
"South Sudan
The South Sudan People's Defence Forces
(SSPDF) have recaptured Nasir and Ulang
counties in Upper Nile State without
violence, according to Major General
Lul Ruai Koang, the army's spokesperson.
Community leaders in the areas
facilitated the recapture by persuading
the White Army, a militia linked to
the Sudan People's Liberation Army in
Opposition (SPLA-IO), to stand down.
Lul dismissed accusations from
SPLA-IO that the SSPDF used
excessive force, stating that the
takeover occurred peacefully."
"Sudan
The Paramilitary Rapid Support Forces
(RSF) troop movements have been
noted in Wad Banda, El Sunut, and
Um Adara, encircling the critical
city of En Nuhud in West Kordofan.
Local sources express concern that the
RSF may be gearing up for another attack."
"Sudan
On Tuesday, paramilitary Rapid Support
Forces (RSF) reportedly killed at
least eight civilians and injured
20 others during mortar attacks on
residential neighborhoods in El Fasher."
"Sudan
A Sudanese airstrike targeted RSF
positions in Banbanousa, South Kordofan.
Casualty figures and damage
assessments were not reported."
"Sudan
On Monday, Sudanese airstrikes
targeted paramilitary Rapid Support
Forces (RSF) positions in the El
Malha area of North Darfur, as
well as Bara in North Kordofan."
"Sudan
The Sudanese army claims to have
killed 60 militants and injured 52
others from the Rapid Support Forces
(RSF) on Wednesday in El-Fasher, North
Darfur State, after a violent attack.
Sudanese forces stated they
repelled the RSF attack.
An RSF artillery attack in the
city on Wednesday killed five
civilians and wounded 40 others."
"Syria
Russian air defenses in Syria
shot down a drone over the
Tartous countryside, causing loud
explosions in the coastal region.
The remnants of the drone landed in the
western Sheikh Al-Badr countryside between
Al-Mousha and Al-Kafroun villages."
"Taiwan
Taiwan tracked 19 Chinese military
aircraft, seven naval vessels,
and two official ships around
its country between 6 a.m.
on Wednesday and 6 a.m.
on Thursday.
14 aircraft crossed the Taiwan
Strait median line in the countryâs
southwestern and eastern Air
Defense Identification Zone."
"Ukraine
Ukrainian forces claimed to have
killed or wounded 1,060 Russian
soldiers over the past day.
Over 320 pieces of military equipment
were destroyed in the fighting."
"Ukraine
According to Kyiv Mayor Vitalii
Klitschko, a massive Russian
attack on Kyiv has resulted in
the confirmed death of 8 people.
The search and rescue operation
is ongoing, with 77 people
seeking medical assistance and 31
hospitalized, including five children.
A total of 12 buildings were damaged
in the attack, and a support center
has been set up in the Sviatoshynskyi
district for those affected."
"Ukraine
Russian forces launched a massive
nighttime attack on Ukraine, targeting
primarily Kyiv with 215 aerial targets.
The Ukrainian Defense Forces
successfully destroyed 112 of these
targets, including ballistic missiles,
cruise missiles, guided aerial
missiles, and Shahed attack drones.
Ukrainian fighter jets, including F-16
and Mirage aircraft, played a significant
role in defending against the attack, with
the majority of targets being shot down."
"Ukraine
Explosions were reported in
various locations across Crimea
on April 23, including Armiansk,
Simferopol, and Yevpatoria.
Social media reports suggest
that Russian fighter jets were
searching for drones in the area.
Additionally, the occupying
authorities blocked traffic across
the Kerch Bridge on April 24."
"Ukraine
Russian drones attacked the
Kyiv region, causing significant
damage to several buildings,
shops, and a preschool education
institution in the Bucha district.
The attack also damaged a warehouse
and cars in the Vyshgorod district."
"Ukraine
A recent missile strike in the
Khmelnytskyi region has caused
significant damage to residential
areas, including a multi-story
building and nine private houses.
Nine households and several vehicles
were damaged, with two people injured
and a gas distribution point damaged.
The Air Defense Forces successfully
intercepted seven Russian
targets during the attack."
"Ukraine
A massive missile and drone strike
on Kharkiv has caused significant
damage to residential buildings,
infrastructure facilities, and
an educational institution.
Preliminary reports indicate that
two people have been injured.
Emergency services, municipal teams,
and psychologists are working to respond
to the situation and mitigate the
effects of potential further strikes."
"Ukraine
Russian troops attacked the Kutsurubska
community in the Mykolaiv region with
FPV drones, injuring a 72-year-old woman.
She was hospitalized and
is receiving medical care."
"Ukraine
On April 24, the Russian army attacked
the village of Riasne in the Sumy
region from the air, resulting in three
men being hospitalized with injuries.
The attack damaged several buildings,
including a shop, the building of the
starosta district, and private houses.
The wounded men were taken to a
hospital in moderate condition."
"Ukraine
A massive Russian missile and drone
attack on Ukraine resulted in 9 deaths
and over 80 injuries across the country.
The attack, which occurred on the night
of April 24, involved around 70 missiles
and 150 drones, causing significant
destruction and ongoing rescue operations.
President Volodymyr Zelensky has
condemned the attack and called
for international pressure and
accountability for Russia's actions.
He has also announced plans to cancel
part of his visit to South Africa
and return to Ukraine immediately."
"Ukraine
Russian forces carried out aerial
attacks in the Donetsk region of Ukraine,
causing harm and damage to civilians.
In Chernihivka, one person was injured
and aerial bombs damaged seven houses.
In Sloviansk, the attacks resulted
in the death of a 74-year-old man and
the injury of a 72-year-old woman,
with 17 private houses also damaged."
"Ukraine
Two railway workers were wounded in a
combined Russian attack in Ukraine, with
one in Zhytomyr and the other in Kyiv.
The condition of both
workers is satisfactory.
The attack also damaged technical
tracks and administrative buildings
in Kyiv and Kharkiv regions, but
train schedules remain on track."
"Ukraine
The Zhytomyr region in Ukraine
was hit by combined Russian air
attacks, resulting in damage to
State Emergency Service equipment,
garages, and residential buildings.
A rescuer was injured during the
strikes, and a fire broke out, covering
an area of 2,500 square meters."
"Yemen
US warplanes conducted six airstrikes
in Yemen's Saada governorate on
Wednesday, according to the Houthi group.
Casualty figures were not
reported in the strikes."
"Hungary
Police quickly dispersed an
anti-government protest in Budapest on
Tuesday, but the Momentum Movement and
Independent MP Ãkos Hadházy have announced
plans for further protests on May 1.
The demonstration was banned, but
a pro-Fidesz rally was allowed
to proceed at the exact location.
The protests are driven by concerns
over academic freedom, authoritarian
tendencies, and nationalist vs.
globalist tensions in Hungary, with
students playing a key role in organizing
and participating in the demonstrations."
"India
On Tuesday, protests broke out in
the capital of New Delhi and other
cities across India following a
deadly attack in Kashmir that killed
at least 26 people, mostly tourists.
Indian authorities have blamed
militants for the attack, while
Pakistan denies any involvement."
"Israel
Over 1,000 demonstrators gathered
in Tel Aviv's Habima Square to
protest the ongoing war in Gaza.
The protesters, led by the Jewish-Arab
""Standing Together"" movement,
chanted slogans demanding an end
to the fighting and held signs
with pictures of hostages and Gazan
children killed during the conflict.
Initially, police tried to restrict
the protest by prohibiting signs with
these images, but later backed down.
The protest organizer, Rula Daoud,
criticized the police's attempt
to censor criticism of the war and
the government, highlighting the
importance of freedom of expression."
"United States
A shooting occurred near Tropical Park
in Southwest Miami-Dade, resulting
in at least three people being hurt.
The suspect was reportedly killed.
The incident happened at Priced Right
Motors, a used car dealership, and
multiple law enforcement agencies,
including SWAT, responded to the scene."
"Syria
A landmine explosion in Manbij
countryside has resulted in a tragic
loss of life, with four civilians killed,
including three women and one man.
The incident also left six women injured.
The explosion targeted a vehicle
carrying agricultural workers in
Arab Hassan Village, highlighting the
ongoing risks faced by civilians in
areas contaminated with war remnants."
"Syria
An old landmine exploded near Al-Saleheyah
Bridge in northern Deir Ezzor countryside,
resulting in a fatal incident.
Two civilians lost their lives, while
another person was injured in the blast.
Fortunately, the injured individual was
taken to the hospital for treatment."
"Syria
An explosion in Al-Alfares village,
south of Al-Khafsah in Manbij
countryside, killed a child.
In another incident, a civilian
was killed by an explosion in
Al-Hammad area, Al-Suwaidaa
countryside, near Abu Harat village."
"Syria
A child has been killed and a girl
severely injured in an explosion
of a landmine in Abdin Village,
southern Idlib countryside.
The injured girl has been taken
to a hospital for treatment."
"United States
A plane crash occurred at
Langley Air Force Base in
Hampton, Virginia, on Thursday.
An MX Aircraft MXS, a two-seat
sport aircraft, crashed while
attempting to land around 11:50 a.m.
The pilot's condition
is unknown at this time.
The FAA and NTSB are investigating
the incident, with the NTSB
leading the investigation."
"United States
On Wednesday evening, a small aircraft
crashed at the Lynchburg Regional Airport.
The plane did not have its landing
gear down, and why is unclear.
No one was injured in the crash,
and an investigation was underway."
"United States
A small plane, carrying three people,
crashed into trees Wednesday morning
after taking off from the Myakka
Head Airport near Myakka City.
No one was injured in the crash.
An investigation was underway."
"United States
Wednesday afternoon, a small plane
crashed in a wooded area in the
Letart/New Haven area of Mason County.
An investigation was underway."
"United States
On Wednesday, a small plane made an
emergency landing in Franklin County
after losing power while taking off
from Triangle North Executive Airport.
After clipping a fence, the pilot
safely landed the aircraft in a
nearby grass area, and two people
on board reported no injuries.
An investigation was underway."
Thanks for joining us for the April
25, 2025 Geopolitical Report Daily.
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