
Fourth round of US-Iran negotiations set for Sunday
Cedric: Welcome to the Geopolitical
Report Daily for May 10, 2025.
Complete reports with casualty
information, interactive web maps, and
our IntelHub dashboard are available with
a Geopolitical Report Pro subscription.
On Friday, we collected 62 events,
including Iran agreeing to the
fourth round of talks with the
United States , so let's get started.
Iran has agreed to hold a fourth
round of indirect nuclear talks with
the United States on Sunday in Oman.
The negotiations, initially scheduled
for May 3 in Rome, were postponed
due to ""logistical reasons."""
"Gaza Strip
The IDF says two Hamas operatives
surrendered and provided intelligence
on a major tunnel in Rafah, which
was subsequently demolished.
The tunnel, located in the Shaboura
camp, spanned around a kilometer and
was 25 meters below ground, featuring
rooms, a bathroom, and blast doors.
The intelligence provided by the
Hamas operatives led to the discovery
and demolition of the tunnel, which
served key terrorists in Hamas."
"India
On Thursday, the Border Security
Force (BSF) thwarted an infiltration
attempt along the India-Pakistan
International Border in Jammu,
killing at least seven terrorists.
The incident occurred in the
Samba district, where BSF troops
engaged a ""large group"" of
terrorists, neutralizing them
and inflicting significant damage
on a Pakistan Rangers post."
"India
Security forces arrested a Kangleipak
Communist Party-People's War Group
(KCP-PWG) rebel during an operation in
Ningthoukhong Kha Keirungba Leikai in
the Bishnupur district on Thursday."
"India
On Thursday, security forces arrested
a Kangleipak Communist Party (Noyon)
terrorist during an operation in
Lamlai, Imphal East district."
"India
On Thursday, security forces
detained seven militants linked
to various banned organizations
across three districts in Manipur.
From Lamding Khumanthem Leikai in
Thoubal district, troops captured
four active members of the prohibited
Kangleipak Communist Party.
In another operation, three terrorists
from the banned United National
Liberation Front (UNLF) (Pambei) were
captured near Lilong Bridge in Thoubal.
The troops also seized weapons and
ammunition, including homemade pistols
and hand grenades, from the suspects."
"India
The West Bengal Special Task Force
(STF) has arrested two Jamatul
Mujahideen Bangladesh (JMB) terrorist
associates during raids in Nalhati
and Murarai in Birbhum district.
Authorities reported that the
individuals propagated the ideology
of the Jamatul Mujahideen Bangladesh,
which is engaged in anti-India
activities, and plotted to carry out
terrorist attacks in the country."
"Israel
The Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen have
taken responsibility for a ballistic
missile launch at Israel, claiming
to have targeted Ben Gurion Airport.
However, the IDF successfully intercepted
the projectile with air defenses.
The Houthis also launched a
drone at a target in the Tel
Aviv area, but there have been
no reports of it reaching Israel.
The group has stated that they will
continue to impose a ban on air navigation
to Israeli airports and ships in the Red
and Arabian Seas until the aggression on
Gaza stops and the blockade is lifted."
"Israel
A baby was lightly wounded
in a stone-throwing attack on
a bus in the Jordan Valley.
The baby was treated at the scene,
and the Israel Defense Forces (IDF)
are searching for those responsible."
"Israel
On Wednesday, Bor Police and
security forces arrested three
individuals in Tira on suspicion
of involvement in an assassination
plot linked to a local terror cell.
The suspects were found with an explosive
device, a drone, and tracking devices,
which are believed to be part of the
equipment intended for assassination."
"Nigeria
Police in Katsina State foiled a
banditry attack in the Ilali village
area of Matazu Local Government Area.
Two individuals, Sada Maraya (45) and
Basiru Magaji (47), were kidnapped
by armed men suspected to be bandits.
However, the police responded
quickly and engaged the bandits in
a gunfight, forcing them to flee.
The victims were rescued unharmed,
and efforts are ongoing to
apprehend the fleeing bandits."
"Nigeria
Two buses traveling from Lagos
to Kano and Katsina were attacked
by armed hoodlums along the
Apata-Obajana road in Kogi State.
Nigerian troops, in collaboration with
the police and local hunters, responded
to a distress alert and engaged the
assailants in a gun duel, forcing them to
abandon 31 of the 38 kidnapped passengers.
Four passengers sustained machete
injuries, and one was hit by a
bullet, but all were evacuated to
a hospital for medical treatment."
"Nigeria
On Thursday, gunmen blocked a highway
in the Okigwe Local Government Area of
Imo State, south-east Nigeria, resulting
in the deaths of multiple people.
The attackers, suspected to be
members of the outlawed Indigenous
People of Biafra (IPOB), flagged
down and set ablaze several vehicles,
including trucks and motorcycles.
According to eyewitnesses, over
20 vehicles were destroyed and
up to 30 people were killed.
The police have confirmed the attack and
launched a manhunt for the perpetrators.
The Imo State Commissioner of
Police has assured residents that
the operation will continue until
all perpetrators are tracked down."
"Nigeria
On Tuesday, May 6, five gunmen
wearing military combat uniforms
ambushed a team of police officers
along the Port Harcourt-Aba Road,
killing a Police Inspector."
"Nigeria
A 37-year-old employee of the
Abuja Electricity Distribution
Company, Yusuf Ibrahim Kasimu, was
killed in Lafia, Nasarawa State.
Eyewitnesses reported that he was
found with severe head injuries,
suggesting he may have been attacked
while trying to help others.
His relatives confirmed his
identity, and his uncle condemned
the killing, urging security agencies
to track down the perpetrators."
"Nigeria
An improvised explosive device
(IED) exploded in Mafa LGA, Borno
state, injuring five children.
The incident occurred when the
children unknowingly tampered with
the IEDs, which were hidden in
holes near a construction site.
The victims, four males and one
female, suffered varying degrees of
injuries, with one boy losing his hand.
A combined team responded to the
scene and conducted an explosive
ordinance risk education for
children and community members."
"Nigeria
The 6 Brigade of the Nigerian
Army has arrested four individuals
suspected of terrorism in the Tau
General Area of Ardo-Kola Local
Government Area, Taraba State.
The operation, initiated in
response to a distress call,
resulted in the capture of the four
suspects, three of whom were armed.
The seized items include two pump-action
rifles, one locally made firearm, three
cutlasses, 42 cartridges, four mobile
phones, and one national identity card."
"Pakistan
On Friday, Baloch Liberation Army
(BLA) rebels attacked and destroyed
a Ufone company communication tower
in the Haji Shahr area of Kachhi."
"Pakistan
On Thursday, Baloch Liberation Army (BLA)
insurgents targeted a truck carrying
supplies to a Pakistani occupation
forces camp in the same Sah Dim area
of Zamaran with a remote-controlled
IED attack, destroying the vehicle."
"Pakistan
The Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) has
reportedly captured the city of Quetta
in Pakistan's Balochistan province,
pushing out the Pakistani army.
This comes as tensions escalate between
Pakistan and India on multiple fronts.
The BLA claimed responsibility for a
series of attacks on Pakistani forces,
including remote-controlled IED attacks
and armed operations, which resulted
in casualties and damage to equipment.
The BLA has warned locals against
assisting the occupation forces
and has targeted vehicles involved
in looting Baloch resources.
The situation is developing with reports
of massive escalation in Balochistan."
"Pakistan
On Friday, Baloch Liberation Army
(BLA) rebels targeted Pakistani
military vehicles in the Chotu area of
Mastung, causing significant damage."
"Pakistan
Between Thursday night and Friday
morning Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan
(TTP) terrorists killed 20 Pakistani
security troops and injured five others
at the Dangat military outpost in the
Shakai subdivision of South Waziristan.
The terrorists also seized five rifles,
a rocket launcher, night vision gear, and
other military supplies from the outpost.
The TTP stated that the attack was
in retaliation for a recent Pakistani
military operation in the Shawal region
that killed one of their fighters."
"Syria
Unidentified gunmen fatally shot a
civilian in his fifties in Hama city.
The incident took place in the early
hours of Friday morning near the
cultural centre in Al-Almain Street."
"Syria
Gunmen attacked civilian homes
in Yahmour and Khirbat Ma'aza,
Tartous countryside, using two cars.
Fortunately, no casualties were reported."
"Ukraine
The Security Service of Ukraine (SSU)
has uncovered a spy network linked
to Hungary's military intelligence
operating in the Zakarpattia region.
Two agents, a former Ukrainian
serviceman and a former Ukrainian
military servicewoman, were detained
for gathering information on Ukraine's
military defenses, public sentiment,
and vulnerabilities in the region.
The investigation identified a
career officer in Hungary's military
intelligence as the handler of both
agents, who were tasked with recruiting
additional informants and expanding
the network into frontline areas.
The suspects have been charged with high
treason during wartime and face life
imprisonment with property confiscation."
"West Bank
Settlers have torched agricultural land
belonging to residents of the central
West Bank village of al-Mughayyir.
This is a rare incident, as arrests
for such attacks are usually made, but
none have been reported in this case."
"Iraq
The Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK)
has announced that it held a congress
in Iraqi Kurdistan from May 5-7.
The group is expected to disband and
end its 40-year armed campaign against
the Turkish state, following a call from
its imprisoned leader Abdullah Ocalan."
"Ukraine
Ukraine has expelled two Hungarian
diplomats in response to Hungary
expelling two Ukrainian diplomats.
Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andriy
Sybiga stated that the move
is based on the principle of
reciprocity and national interests.
The expulsions are part of an
escalating row between the two
countries over Ukraine's detention
of alleged Hungarian spies.
The diplomats must leave
Ukraine within 48 hours."
"Israel
A 29-year-old resident of Kafr Qasim
has been indicted for planning to join
the Islamic State (ISIS) terror group.
Adam Sarsour is accused of consuming
ISIS-related material online for 10
years, attempting to join the group
in Syria, and sharing violent videos
linked to ISIS on social media.
He was arrested, and ISIS-related
items were seized from his possession.
The case has been filed with the
Kfar Saba Magistrate's Court."
"Gaza Strip
Two Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)
soldiers were killed and at least
six were wounded in separate
incidents in the southern Gaza Strip.
The soldiers, Sgt.
Yishai Elyakim Urbach and Staff Sgt.
Yam Frid, were both young adults,
20 and 21 years old, respectively."
"Gaza Strip
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)
carried out a significant operation
in the Gaza Strip, striking over
60 targets, including terror cells,
buildings, and infrastructure.
The operation included a joint effort
with the 36th Division and targeted
Hamas positions in the Morag Corridor.
Additionally, a drone strike
killed a terror operative, and
another strike hit a building from
which troops were under fire."
"Gaza Strip
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have
targeted several Hamas operatives
in northern Gaza's Jabalia.
The strike allegedly hit an UNRWA
aid supply center, resulting in
the deaths of several people.
The IDF claims to have taken
steps to minimize civilian harm,
including using a precision
munition and aerial surveillance."
"India
A military standoff between India and
Pakistan has escalated in Kashmir, with
both sides exchanging heavy artillery
fire, resulting in at least nine
civilian deaths and numerous injuries."
"India
India successfully intercepted a major
missile strike from Pakistan late
Thursday night, neutralizing eight
incoming missiles with L-70 guns,
ZU-23 mm systems, Schilka systems,
and advanced counter-UAS technology.
The missiles targeted critical locations,
including Jammu civil airport, Samba,
RS Pura, Arnia, and nearby areas.
Two drones were shot down
near Jammu University.
Pakistan targeted several cities
bordering states, including Punjab,
Rajasthan, and the Jammu region.
Civilian sites in Jammu,
Udhampur, Akhnoor, Pathankot,
Gurdaspur, and Jaisalmer
experienced strikes, among others.
In retaliation, Indian fighter jets
have initiated counter-operations
on Pakistani Air Defense radars
and systems at several locations."
"India
Thursday evening, a Pakistani mortar
shell hit a vehicle near Mohura in the
Uri sector of the Baramulla district,
killing a woman and injuring another."
"India
Tensions have increased between India and
Pakistan as the Pakistani Army has been
resorting to heavy firing across the Line
of Control (LoC) in Jammu and Kashmir.
The shelling has resulted in several
injuries, damaged homes and vehicles,
and claimed lives in various districts,
including Poonch, with 44 people injured
and 13 killed in the district alone.
The Pakistani military's move is seen as a
retaliation for India's Operation Sindoor,
which targeted terror infrastructure in
Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir.
The situation remains grim, with
many residents migrating from the
affected areas and the government
scrambling to provide relief."
"Iraq
On Friday, Turkish forces
conducted airstrikes on several
villages in the Al-Amadiye
region in the province of Dohuk.
Casualty figures were unknown."
"Myanmar
Between Monday and Thursday, junta
air and artillery strikes hit
the villages of Ya Pyin and Tha
Yet Cho in Nawnghkio Township.
The artillery attack on Thursday
hit a wedding party in the village
of Tha Yet Cho, killing four
civilians, including a five-year-old
child, and injuring seven others."
"Myanmar
On Friday, Karen National Union/Karen
National Liberation Army (KNU/KNLA)
insurgents captured a key junta
military base near the border town
of Htee Khee, Dawei Township, after
10 days of intensive fighting."
"Myanmar
On Friday, Myanmar forces conducted
drone strikes and artillery attacks
on residential areas in the Taâang
National Liberation Army-held
villages of Nawng Len, Ong Ma Ti,
and Tang Hla in Nawnghkio Township.
The attacks on Nawn Len
reportedly included gas bombs.
However, the effects on
residents were unknown."
"Myanmar
Military sources and residents report
that junta reinforcements sent to recover
rebel-held areas in Madaya Township,
Mandalay Region, are encountering strong
resistance from the Mandalay Peopleâs
Defense Force (MDY-PDF) insurgents.
Sources stated that heavy
casualties have taken place."
"South Sudan
The SPLA-IO, South Sudanâs leading armed
opposition group, has claimed that forces
loyal to Vice President Taban Deng Gai
are moving closer to its positions in
Unity State, heightening concerns over
a possible resurgence of conflict in the
oil-rich northern region of the country."
"Sudan
On Friday, Rapid Support Forces
(RSF) drone strikes targeted Port
Sudan for the sixth consecutive day.
The Sudanese army's air defenses
responded with heavy anti-aircraft fire."
"Taiwan
Taiwan tracked 14 Chinese
military aircraft, eight naval
vessels, and one official ship
around its country between 6 a.m.
on Thursday and 6 a.m.
on Friday.
Twelve aircraft crossed the Taiwan Strait
median and entered Taiwan's southwestern
Air Defense Identification Zone."
"Uganda
The Sudan Peopleâs Liberation Army
in Opposition (SPLA-IO) has refuted
claims that its forces crossed the
Busia border into Koboko District,
Northwestern Uganda, on Thursday.
The SPLA-IO asserted that the clash
in the morning did not extend to the
border, claiming that those involved
in the incursion were South Sudanese
forces members fleeing from combat."
"Ukraine
A 72-hour ceasefire called by Russian
President Vladimir Putin has been met
with skepticism by Ukrainian officials.
Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha
accused Russia of violating the ceasefire
734 times, calling it a ""farce.""
Despite this, Ukraine's parliament
unanimously approved a landmark
minerals deal with the U.S.,
which will allow Washington
access to Ukraine's minerals
and deepen strategic ties.
Russian attacks continued on the
first day of the ceasefire, with at
least one civilian killed in northeast
Ukraine, while President Putin
welcomed Chinese President Xi Jinping
in the Kremlin, marking a significant
diplomatic development in the conflict."
"Ukraine
Ukrainian forces claimed to have
killed or wounded 1,300 Russian
soldiers over the past day.
Over 200 pieces of military equipment
were destroyed in the fighting."
"Ukraine
Russian troops launched strikes
on the Nikopol district in
Ukraine, injuring one person and
causing significant destruction.
The strikes targeted multiple
communities, including the district
center, using UAVs and artillery.
The damage includes a garage and
outbuildings on fire, as well as
damage to two private homes, an
outbuilding, a moped, and power lines."
"Ukraine
Russian forces have carried out
multiple attacks on the Kherson
region in Ukraine, resulting in one
civilian fatality and another injured.
According to Oleksandr Prokudin, head of
the Kherson Regional State Administration,
numerous settlements were targeted,
including Kherson, using drone attacks,
artillery shelling, and air strikes.
The attacks damaged a multi-story
building, three private homes,
and several vehicles, causing
significant destruction."
"Ukraine
On the day Russia declared a
""truce,"" their forces carried out
220 attacks on eight settlements
in the Zaporizhzhia region.
The attacks included 150 drone strikes
and 70 artillery strikes, resulting
in nine reports of destruction
and damage to buildings, including
apartments and private homes."
"Ukraine
Russian forces launched airstrikes
in the Sumy region of Ukraine,
resulting in civilian casualties.
Airstrikes in the village of Manukhivka
killed an 85-year-old woman and
injured a 49-year-old man, while
two private houses were destroyed."
"West Bank
A senior Palestinian Islamic
Jihad operative, Nour Bitawi,
was killed by Israeli troops in
the West Bank city of Nablus.
Bitawi was wanted for months and
was responsible for planning and
financing terror attacks against
Israeli citizens and security forces.
He was killed along with another
operative in a joint operation by
the IDF, Shin Bet, and police."
"West Bank
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)
conducted an operation in the northern
West Bank yesterday, resulting in the
detention of a Palestinian suspect.
According to the IDF, the suspect
was planning to carry out a
terror attack and was involved
in building explosive devices.
He was shot by members of the
Duvdevan commando unit in his
home in the town of Tamun, but his
condition is currently unknown."
"Spain
A small, overcrowded migrant boat
carrying 16 people from sub-Saharan
Africa was found adrift at sea,
62 nautical miles from Alicante.
One person was found deceased, and
the 15 survivors were rescued by the
Salvamar Fénix and taken to the Port
of Alicante for medical treatment."
"Sri Lanka
A military helicopter, a Bell
212, crashed into a reservoir in
Maduru Oya, Sri Lanka, killing six
people from the army and air force.
The helicopter was carrying 12 people,
including two pilots, to a military event.
All passengers were initially
recovered alive, but later succumbed
to their injuries in the hospital.
An investigation into the
cause of the crash is ongoing."
"Syria
In northern Aleppo, a child died from
shrapnel in a cluster grenade explosion.
In Al-Raqqa, two children were
killed and their parents were
injured in a separate incident.
Additionally, a civilian was
severely injured by shrapnel
from a landmine in Idlib."
"Syria
In the Palmyra Desert, east of
Homs, two separate incidents
involving landmines occurred.
Two children were injured by shrapnel from
a landmine explosion while herding sheep.
Additionally, a truck detonated
a landmine between Al-Marwaha and
Al-Sakri, severely injuring two young
men and causing the car to explode."
"United Kingdom
A light aircraft crashed in the East
Fortune area of Scotland on May 8, 2025.
The pilot, a 40-year-old male, tragically
lost his life, while the 42-year-old
passenger is in critical condition
at the Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh.
Emergency services responded promptly,
and the Air Accident Investigation
Branch (AAIB) has been notified
to investigate the incident."
"United States
A small plane, a Cessna,
crash-landed in the Florida
Everglades on Thursday evening.
Two people on board were rescued
and transported to a hospital,
where they received check-ups
but reported no serious injuries.
The incident is currently under
investigation by the Federal
Aviation Administration."
"United States
On Thursday, a plane (Air Tractor AT-301)
taking off from a private landing strip
in Reno County, Kansas, clipped the top
of a passing car (2014 Chevy Impala).
Fortunately, neither the pilot nor
the woman in the car was injured."
"United States
On Friday morning, 17 CSX train
cars derailed near Campbell Road
and Nancy Circle, causing thousands
of pounds of dry goods (including
lumber) to spill onto the tracks.
Fortunately, no injuries were reported
and no hazardous materials were released.
The cleanup is being monitored by
the Smyrna Fire Department, and the
cause of the incident is currently
under investigation by CSX."
Thanks for joining us for the May
10, 2025 Geopolitical Report Daily.
As a reminder, complete reports with
casualty information, interactive
web maps, and our IntelHub dashboard
are available with a Geopolitical
Report Pro subscription, which you
can try with a seven-day-free-trial
at geopolitical.report.
Thanks again for listening, and don't
forget to tune in again tomorrow.