
Fallout from the Oval Office argument continues
Cedric: Welcome to the Geopolitical
Report Daily for March 2, 2025.
Complete reports with casualty
information, interactive web maps, and
our IntelHub dashboard are available with
a Geopolitical Report Pro subscription.
On Saturday, we collected and
mapped 46 events, including more
fallout from Friday's Oval Office
argument, so let's get started.
"Ukraine
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy
expressed regret after a contentious
Oval Office meeting with President
Trump, where he was berated for
""gambling with World War Three.""
The planned minerals deal announcement
was canceled, and Zelenskyy left early.
In a Fox News interview, he avoided
directly answering whether he owed Trump
an apology, instead thanking Americans for
their support during the war with Russia.
Trump later stated Ukraine ""doesn't
win"" without US backing, while European
leaders pledged continued support.
Despite the diplomatic incident,
Zelenskyy expressed confidence that
the relationship could be salvaged."
"United Kingdom
Volodymyr Zelensky is visiting the
UK on Saturday to meet with Prime
Minister Keir Starmer at Downing Street.
The Ukrainian President arrived
from the US, where he had a tense
meeting with President Trump.
After his UK visit, Zelensky is
scheduled to attend a European summit
on Sunday where leaders will discuss
continued support for Ukraine."
"United States
US President Donald Trump claimed that
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky
""overplayed his hand"" during their
contentious Oval Office meeting.
Speaking to reporters as he departed
the White House for Florida,
Trump emphasized his desire for
an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine,
stating, ""I want a ceasefire now.""
Trump also accused Zelensky of
opposing a truce and insisted
that he wants the fighting in
Ukraine to end ""immediately."""
"Gaza Strip
Hamas has rejected Israel's proposal
to extend the first phase of the Gaza
ceasefire on the day it is set to expire.
Hamas spokesperson Hazem Qassem
told Al-Araby TV that there are
currently no discussions taking place
regarding a potential second phase
of the ceasefire with the group."
"Gaza Strip
Hamas official Basem Naim reports no
progress in the latest talks for phase
two of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire, with
uncertainty about future negotiations.
Phase one expires today, though fighting
should pause while talks continue.
Phase two aims to end the Gaza
war, withdraw Israeli troops, and
return the remaining hostages (at
least 35 of 59 are confirmed dead).
Officials from Israel, Qatar,
Egypt, and the US met in Cairo
without Hamas's direct presence.
Naim indicated Israel had largely refused
to engage in phase two discussions until
recently, despite these negotiations being
scheduled to begin almost a month ago."
"Israel
The US State Department has notified
Congress of plans to sell nearly
$3 billion in weapons to Israel
across three separate packages.
The sales include $2.04
billion for over 35,000 heavy
bombs and 4,000 penetrator warheads
(expected delivery next year), $675.7
million for various bombs and guidance
kits (expected delivery in 2028), and
$295 million for D9 Caterpillar bulldozers
(expected delivery beginning in 2027).
The Defense Security Cooperation
Agency states these sales will improve
Israel's defensive capabilities
and serve as a regional deterrent.
Notably, the previous US administration
had reportedly delayed the bulldozer
sale over concerns about their use
in destroying homes in Gaza, which
Israel claims are used by Hamas."
"Lebanon
President Joseph Aoun of Lebanon
asserted that the Lebanese state
must control ""decisions of
war and peace"" by restricting
weapons to state authorities only.
He emphasized that only the state
should determine how to respond
to aggression and mobilize forces.
Aoun confirmed Lebanon's commitment to UN
Resolution 1701 (banning Hezbollah from
south Lebanon) and expressed fatigue with
conflict, preferring diplomatic solutions.
He criticized Israel for failing to
fully withdraw from south Lebanon,
maintaining forces in five strategic
positions despite a signed agreement,
and noted that Lebanon is working with
French and American allies to pressure
Israel to complete its withdrawal."
"Turkey
Kurdish militants from the outlawed
PKK have declared a ceasefire with
Turkey following a significant call
from their imprisoned leader, Abdullah
Ocalan, who urged the group to disband.
The PKK executive committee announced
the immediate ceasefire in a statement
quoted by the pro-PKK ANF news agency,
stating it was intended to facilitate
the implementation of Ocalan's call
for peace and a democratic society."
"Guyana
A Venezuelan Coast Guard vessel entered
Guyana's waters on March 1, approaching
oil production vessels and claiming
they operated in ""disputed waters.""
President Ali called this a
""grave concern,"" emphasizing
Guyana's internationally
recognized maritime boundaries.
Guyana alerted CARICOM Chair Mia
Mottley and international partners,
summoned Venezuela's ambassador, and
increased monitoring in the area."
"India
BSF personnel clashed with 20-25
Bangladeshi intruders at the
Indo-Bangladesh border in Tripura,
leaving three jawans injured.
The incident occurred in Sepahijala
district when smuggling-linked
intruders entered Indian territory
and attacked a BSF patrol.
Some attempted to snatch weapons,
prompting a jawan to fire a non-lethal
round, injuring one Bangladeshi national."
"India
Two Maoists were killed during an
encounter with security forces in
Chhattisgarh's Sukma district on Saturday.
The gunfight occurred in a forest
area under Kistaram police station
jurisdiction during an anti-Naxalite
operation conducted by a joint team
of the District Reserve Guard (DRG)
and CoBRA (an elite CRPF unit).
The operation began Friday
based on intelligence about
Maoist presence in the area."
"Pakistan
Six terrorists were killed by security
forces during an intelligence-based
operation in Ghulam Khan village,
North Waziristan, on Friday.
According to Pakistan's military media
wing (ISPR), weapons and ammunition
were seized during the operation.
The terrorists were reportedly
involved in attacks against
civilians and security forces.
An operation is ongoing to clear the
area of any remaining militants."
"Syria
Turkish forces and their proxies
have intensified military operations
in Aleppo countryside, particularly
around western Kobane and Tishreen Dam.
They conducted heavy artillery
shelling against multiple villages
with no reported casualties.
Fierce clashes between pro-Turkey forces
and SDF occurred at Tal Syriatel, while a
landmine explosion in Al-Sa'adyah village
killed three faction members and injured
seven others, including two SDF members.
One pro-Turkey fighter was captured
during the confrontations."
"Syria
Turkish forces conducted artillery
strikes on several villages in
the western countryside of Kobane,
specifically targeting Ashmah, Turman,
and Zur Maghar villages, as well
as a warehouse near Sarin junction.
The bombardment reportedly caused
material damage to civilian properties."
"Syria
US Central Command (CENTCOM) has announced
conducting a precision airstrike in
Syria that killed Muhammed Yusuf Ziya
Talay, a senior military leader of Hurras
al-Din (HaD), an Al-Qaeda affiliate.
CENTCOM Commander General Michael Erik
Kurilla emphasized the US commitment
to pursuing terrorists to protect the
homeland and personnel in the region."
"Taiwan
The Taiwanese defense ministry reported
significant Chinese military activity
around Taiwan over a 24-hour period,
including 17 military aircraft, eight
naval vessels, and three official ships.
Fifteen aircraft crossed the Taiwan
Strait's median line, entering
Taiwan's air defense identification
zone from multiple directions.
Taiwan responded by deploying
its own aircraft, naval vessels,
and coastal missile systems to
monitor the Chinese presence."
"Ukraine
Russian forces launched six attacks
on Ukraine's Sumy region border
areas, causing 11 explosions
across multiple communities.
Aerial bombs and artillery,
damaging administrative buildings
and homes, hit Krasnopilska.
Yunakivska faced two aerial bomb
strikes, while Velykopysarivska and
Sadivska suffered drone attacks.
In Romny, a drone strike damaged
three houses around 1:45 AM.
The attacks damaged civilian
infrastructure, including private
homes, farm buildings, and vehicles.
Ukrainian air defense shot down
11 Russian drones over the region.
Despite the extensive property damage,
no civilian casualties were reported."
"Ukraine
Russian shelling in Ukraine's Donetsk
region killed four civilians and
injured six others on February 28.
According to Vadym Filashkin, Head of the
Donetsk Regional Military Administration,
the fatalities occurred in three different
locations: two people in Lyman, one
in Myrnohrad, and one in Siversk."
"Ukraine
A Russian attack drone hit an
apartment building in Zaporizhzhia,
Ukraine, causing a fire.
Emergency services were immediately
dispatched to the scene.
Local authorities are establishing a
resilience center for affected residents,
though its location will not be
publicly disclosed for security reasons.
According to initial reports,
no casualties have been
reported from the attack."
"Ukraine
Russian forces launched a massive
drone attack on three districts
of Kharkiv on March 1, injuring
12 people, including two children.
Nine strike drones targeted the
Shevchenkivskyi, Kyivskyi, and
Novobavarskyi districts, hitting
residential areas, a medical facility,
commercial buildings, and a gas station.
Damage was reported to apartment
buildings, pharmacies, cafes,
and other establishments."
"Ukraine
Explosions were reported
during an air raid in Kharkiv.
The strikes impacted two areas
of the city, the central part
and the Shevchenkivskyi district,
both near residential buildings.
According to Oleh Syniehubov, head
of the Kharkiv Regional Military
Administration, there were no
casualties from these strikes."
"Ukraine
Russian forces launched nine
Shahed drones at Kharkiv overnight.
Though all were shot down, falling debris
damaged three medical facilities (dental
hospital, genetic center, and regional
clinical hospital), six high-rises,
and two administrative buildings.
Officials evacuated 54 immobile patients
from a psychoneurological dispensary.
The regional hospital remains
operational despite being
targeted for the fourth time.
International partners will help
restore the damaged medical facilities."
"Ukraine
Russian forces launched a
ballistic missile strike on
Odesa's port infrastructure,
damaging both port facilities
and a Panamanian-flagged civilian
vessel owned by a European company.
Two port employees were
injured in the attack.
Emergency and medical services are
currently responding to the incident.
This follows earlier reports of an
explosion in Odesa during an air raid
alert and a previous Russian strike
in the Odesa region that killed one
civilian and injured three others."
"Ukraine
Ukrainian forces claimed to have
killed or wounded 1,050 Russian
soldiers over the past day.
Over 320 pieces of military equipment
were destroyed in the fighting."
"Ukraine
Russian forces attacked Darivka
in Ukraine's Kherson region with a
drone-dropped explosive, critically
injuring an 11-year-old child.
According to Oleksandr Prokudin,
head of the Kherson Regional Military
Administration, the child suffered a
traumatic brain injury, concussion, and
shrapnel wounds to the face and abdomen.
The victim was transported to
a hospital where doctors are
working to save their life."
"Ukraine
A Russian drone strike in the
Odesa region killed one person
and injured three others.
The attack damaged a private house
and caused fires at an enterprise
where vehicles were damaged.
The State Emergency Service
deployed 58 rescuers and 14
equipment units to extinguish the
fires and manage the aftermath."
"Ukraine
A Russian drone attack in the
Romny district of Ukraine's Sumy
region has damaged 14 private homes
and three municipal buildings,
including an educational institution.
Local authorities have received
11 damage reports, with emergency
response efforts underway involving
rescue teams, municipal workers, and
the Ukrainian Red Cross Society."
"Ukraine
Russian forces shelled a residential
house in Beryslav, Kherson region, killing
a 63-year-old woman on March 1, 2025.
No other damage was
reported in the attack."
"Ukraine
Russian forces shelled the village of
Stetskivka in the Sumy community, causing
a private residence to catch fire.
Acting mayor Artem Kobzar reported
the attack on Facebook, noting
there were no casualties reported."
"Democratic Republic of Congo
At least 23 people were killed
and approximately 20 others taken
hostage in northeastern DRC by the
Allied Democratic Forces (ADF),
a group linked to Islamic State.
The attacks occurred Tuesday and
Wednesday in Ituri province near
the Uganda border, targeting the
villages of Matolo and Samboko.
Victims were primarily farmers working
in fields, and hostages included
the son of Matolo's village chief."
"India
Pakistani law enforcement arrested
20 terrorists allegedly linked
to Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan
(TTP) in Punjab province.
The Counter-Terrorism Department conducted
162 intelligence-led operations, capturing
three ""extremely dangerous"" TTP members
identified as Manmohan Singh, Naqeebullah,
and Riyaz from different cities.
Authorities seized explosives,
detonators, and IED bombs and prohibited
literature from the suspects, who
allegedly planned to target important
buildings in Lahore and other cities."
"Nigeria
Eight people were killed and several
others abducted when armed bandits
attacked a food trailer at Matashayi Zaki
community along the Dansadau/Gusau road.
The attack occurred around
6:00 pm after military escorts
had left the trailer behind.
Despite a military station established in
Dansadau town by the Federal Government
to reduce bandit activity, attacks
continue on this dangerous road."
"Pakistan
A bomb explosion in Pakistan's
Balochistan province injured 10
people, including a security officer.
The blast appears to have been
caused by a remotely detonated IED
containing 2-3 kg of explosives.
The explosion occurred near a Frontier
Corps convoy in Quetta, damaging five
shops and a paramilitary vehicle."
"Syria
ISIS gunmen on a motorbike fired at an SDF
post on Al-Marashedah bridge in Al-Susah
town, causing only material damage.
In addition, ISIS gunmen attacked
SDF headquarters on the road
between Al-Namliyah and Al-Suwar
in northern Deir Ezzor, with no
reported casualties in either attack."
"Ukraine
An FSB officer was injured when his
vehicle was blown up in Russian-occupied
Mariupol around 1:00 AM on February 28.
According to the Mariupol City
Council (via Telegram), the attack
was carried out by the local
Ukrainian resistance movement.
The officer is currently
in intensive care.
Following the attack, Russian FSB
forces intensified security measures
and began extensive search operations."
"United States
A Minnesota man, Abdisatar
Ahmed Hassan, has been arrested
for attempting to join ISIS.
The FBI began investigating him after
he tried to buy tickets to Somalia twice
in December 2024, claiming to visit
family despite having no relatives there.
Authorities found social media posts
where Hassan praised ISIS, including the
New Orleans New Year's Day attack, and
displayed an ISIS flag in his vehicle.
He was arrested Thursday and charged
with attempting to provide material
support to a designated foreign
terrorist organization, with a detention
hearing scheduled for March 5th."
"West Bank
Palestinian media reports that
Israeli settlers set fire to a
Palestinian-owned vehicle near the
village of Silwad, north of Ramallah.
No injuries have been
reported in the attack."
"Israel
Protesters gathered in multiple
Israeli cities on Saturday, including
Ness Ziona, Haifa, Hadera, and Tel
Aviv's Habima Square, to demonstrate
in support of completing a deal."
"Kenya
Refugees in Kakuma protested for
food aid, marching with cooking
pots and water bottles while
chanting ""Haki yetu"" (our rights).
Spokesperson Garang Bull said
they only want basic necessities
from Kenya's government.
Protesters opposed integration with
the Turkana community and stated
they'd rather return to their home
countries and face violence than starve.
One refugee emphasized they aren't
asking for education or healthcare
- just food to survive, saying: ""We
cannot accept to die of hunger.
We better go and die of bullets."""
"Romania
Far-right protesters gathered in
Bucharest to oppose the government after
Romania's Constitutional Court canceled
last year's presidential election.
Demonstrators supported Calin Georgescu,
who surprisingly won the first round
before the election was annulled.
The Alliance for the Unity of
Romanians organized the protest,
claiming votes were ""stolen.""
Prosecutors have launched a
criminal investigation against
Georgescu for allegedly supporting
fascist groups and making false
campaign finance declarations.
A recent no-confidence vote against Prime
Minister Ciolacu's government failed.
The election has been rescheduled
for May 4, though Georgescu's
participation remains uncertain."
"Serbia
Thousands protested in Nis, Serbia,
on Saturday in ongoing student-led
anti-corruption demonstrations sparked
by last year's fatal train station
collapse that killed 15 people.
The movement has forced several officials
to resign, including the prime minister.
Protesters observed 15 minutes of
silence, marking the tragedy's timing.
The demonstrations began after a
renovated station roof collapsed in
November, fueling public anger over
corruption in construction projects."
"Spain
Thousands protested in Valencia,
demanding regional leader Carlos Mazon's
resignation over his handling of October's
devastating floods that killed 232 people.
Four months after Spain's worst natural
disaster in decades, demonstrators
carried photos of deceased loved
ones and signs with slogans like
""Mazon resign"" and ""murderers.""
Criticism centers on the delayed
emergency response, with alerts sent
after flooding began and inadequate
aid for stranded residents."
"Syria
In Tel Abyad, residents attacked
a military police prison demanding
the release of a prisoner
accused of killing Turkish-backed
fighters, leading to clashes.
This came after military police
conducted home raids allegedly
searching for suspects and weapons,
harassing women, confiscating phones
to check for SDF communications, and
arresting three men whose whereabouts
remain unknown in Ras Al-Ain."
"Syria
A child was injured by an exploding
remnant landmine in Maarrat Harmah town,
located in the southern Idlib countryside.
The injured child was transported to
a hospital for medical treatment."
"United States
A small aircraft crashed Saturday
morning near the west side of New Smyrna
Beach Municipal Airport in Florida.
According to the New Smyrna Beach
Fire Department's social media
post around noon, no injuries
were reported in the incident.
The fire department shared an
image showing the plane overturned
beside a roadway and advised
drivers to avoid the area.
No additional details about the crash
were available at the time of the report."
"Vietnam
A cargo train collided with a stalled
truck at a railway crossing in Vietnam's
HÃ TÄ©nh province on Saturday morning.
The truck driver escaped before
impact, but the collision caused
three train carriages to derail,
damaged several meters of track,
and completely halted traffic on
the vital North-South railway line.
The truck was severely damaged, while the
train driver sustained minor injuries.
Emergency responders arrived at
the scene to clear the wreckage and
investigate the cause of the accident"
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2, 2025 Geopolitical Report Daily.
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